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Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 155.33
Price - 52 Week High: 286.85
Price - 52 Week Low: 153.88
Price Date (Latest): 10/16/18
Median Price Target: 214.63
Diff from Prev Close: 59.30
% Difference: 38.18

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.05

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 13.61
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 17.23
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 14.46
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 16.57 18.50 14.98 16.50 10 1 2 -1.60
Annual 12/1/19 14.94 16.00 13.37 15.00 23 1 10 -1.39
Annual 12/1/18 13.63 13.77 13.29 13.67 23 -- 10 -0.34
Quarterly 9/1/18 3.58 3.63 3.53 3.58 20 -- 7 -0.50
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.51 3.62 3.24 3.55 20 -- 9 -0.95
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.09 3.36 2.76 3.09 14 -- 5 -1.13
Quarterly 6/1/19 3.85 4.35 3.44 3.87 14 -- 5 -1.00
Long Term Growth 5.85 5.90 5.80 5.85 2 -- 2 -41.88

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 13.61 13.52 0.70
Annual 12/1/16 12.61 12.57 0.34
Annual 12/1/15 10.20 10.11 0.93
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.51 3.90 -9.93
Quarterly 3/1/18 3.01 3.00 0.41
Quarterly 12/1/17 3.42 3.32 2.97
Quarterly 9/1/17 3.75 3.74 0.32

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 94.85
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 137.14 139.52 134.64 136.84 5 -- 1 -1.29
Annual 12/1/19 118.37 123.07 105.43 120.46 6 -- 2 -0.90
Annual 12/1/18 106.26 108.14 105.43 105.75 6 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 102.15 102.33 101.97 102.15 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 105.75 105.89 105.60 105.75 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 108.67 108.80 108.54 108.67 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 112.18 112.22 112.15 112.18 2 -- 1 --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 94.85 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 77.99 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 65.66 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 98.73 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 98.71 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 94.85 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 91.33 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 15.95
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 22.61 22.72 22.49 22.61 3 -- 1 -3.55
Annual 12/1/19 21.14 22.22 19.86 21.30 5 -- 2 -3.18
Annual 12/1/18 20.68 21.27 20.05 20.70 4 -- 1 -0.40
Quarterly 9/1/18 6.63 8.08 5.36 6.45 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 5.08 6.01 4.01 5.16 4 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 2.32 4.76 -0.13 2.33 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 6.50 7.85 5.47 6.17 3 -- 1 --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 15.95 18.10 -11.89
Annual 12/1/16 17.80 16.73 6.42
Annual 12/1/15 12.32 13.21 -6.77
Quarterly 6/1/18 5.84 6.54 -10.65
Quarterly 3/1/18 2.45 4.06 -39.82
Quarterly 12/1/17 4.26 6.50 -34.45
Quarterly 9/1/17 6.15 6.67 -7.83

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 7 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/16 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/15 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 -- -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,416.43
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,587.44 1,720.00 1,493.44 1,607.76 7 -- 2 -3.76
Annual 12/1/19 1,464.88 1,515.00 1,371.94 1,490.32 13 -- 7 -2.74
Annual 12/1/18 1,328.46 1,372.01 1,303.00 1,327.50 14 -- 5 -1.19
Quarterly 9/1/18 348.50 354.00 342.64 347.30 11 -- 5 -2.11
Quarterly 12/1/18 344.95 359.00 323.34 349.00 11 -- 5 -2.30
Quarterly 3/1/19 303.49 317.00 285.68 305.30 6 -- 2 -1.28
Quarterly 6/1/19 371.20 397.80 350.05 366.21 6 -- 2 -0.36

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,416.43 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1,316.94 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1,049.99 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 342.54 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 291.86 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 358.70 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 397.50 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 1,859.30
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 2,212.87 2,373.00 2,082.03 2,223.05 9 -- 2 -1.22
Annual 12/1/19 2,042.02 2,198.70 1,912.88 2,054.00 19 -- 7 -0.84
Annual 12/1/18 1,841.03 1,874.70 1,800.77 1,845.00 15 -- 6 -0.16
Quarterly 9/1/18 483.29 513.70 468.00 482.21 16 -- 5 -1.03
Quarterly 12/1/18 480.72 491.71 461.50 482.00 15 1 6 -1.28
Quarterly 3/1/19 449.05 480.60 418.15 447.45 10 -- 3 -0.58
Quarterly 6/1/19 520.58 576.60 482.53 524.42 10 -- 3 -0.19

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,859.30 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1,711.74 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1,395.86 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 466.54 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 411.79 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 477.29 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 511.02 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 12.98
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 16.76 18.50 15.19 17.00 5 1 2 -2.58
Annual 12/1/19 14.94 15.48 13.96 15.04 14 1 6 -1.39
Annual 12/1/18 12.49 12.63 12.34 12.53 14 -- 6 -0.37
Quarterly 9/1/18 3.58 3.63 3.46 3.60 12 -- 4 -1.79
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.52 3.60 3.30 3.56 12 -- 4 -1.87
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.13 3.27 2.90 3.18 7 -- 3 -0.69
Quarterly 6/1/19 3.78 4.00 3.56 3.86 7 -- 3 -0.23

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 12.98 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 12.48 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 8.31 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 2.62 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 2.78 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 3.21 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 3.61 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 2,678.69
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 587.85 861.44 315.70 587.12 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 1,448.32 1,820.64 1,174.00 1,405.80 10 2 -- 2.69
Annual 12/1/18 2,235.42 2,598.50 1,820.64 2,361.30 10 1 1 1.01
Quarterly 9/1/18 2,405.33 2,710.40 2,100.26 2,405.33 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 2,311.84 2,598.50 2,025.19 2,311.84 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 2,232.58 2,287.40 2,177.75 2,232.58 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 2,004.00 2,078.30 1,929.70 2,004.00 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 2,678.69 2,307.87 16.07
Annual 12/1/16 2,389.82 2,477.34 -3.53
Annual 12/1/15 3,118.24 2,857.07 9.14
Quarterly 6/1/18 2,512.31 2,363.22 6.31
Quarterly 3/1/18 2,802.73 2,423.86 15.63
Quarterly 12/1/17 2,678.69 2,337.16 14.61
Quarterly 9/1/17 2,632.94 2,420.97 8.76

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 1,018.65
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,238.30 1,366.20 1,122.35 1,228.11 8 -- 2 -3.24
Annual 12/1/19 1,122.11 1,224.50 1,045.59 1,126.76 18 1 8 -2.16
Annual 12/1/18 1,021.60 1,032.00 1,007.90 1,024.59 18 -- 7 -1.01
Quarterly 9/1/18 269.37 283.80 265.30 268.50 14 1 6 -1.69
Quarterly 12/1/18 263.51 271.30 249.23 266.46 14 -- 6 -2.09
Quarterly 3/1/19 232.24 252.40 219.36 229.00 9 -- 3 -0.86
Quarterly 6/1/19 287.19 325.90 268.00 285.40 9 -- 3 -0.29

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,018.65 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 940.35 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 755.50 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 262.93 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 225.28 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 256.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 280.88 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,495.60 1,495.60 1,495.60 1,495.60 1 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 1,339.30 1,339.30 1,339.30 1,339.30 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 458.40 458.40 458.40 458.40 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 415.40 415.40 415.40 415.40 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 14.69
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 12.60 14.20 11.78 12.10 5 -- 1 -1.91
Annual 12/1/19 12.97 14.56 12.20 12.60 9 -- 4 -2.23
Annual 12/1/18 13.15 13.72 11.90 13.40 10 -- 2 -0.08
Quarterly 9/1/18 13.90 13.90 13.90 13.90 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 13.40 13.40 13.40 13.40 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 11.50 11.50 11.50 11.50 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 12.70 12.70 12.70 12.70 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 14.69 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 17.68 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 16.30 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 14.29 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 12.51 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 14.77 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 16.96 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 9,491.29
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 11,154.74 11,407.10 10,840.97 11,194.35 9 2 1 0.37
Annual 12/1/19 10,723.48 11,073.00 10,402.30 10,722.75 20 2 6 -0.16
Annual 12/1/18 10,123.78 10,237.00 10,019.00 10,129.90 20 1 6 -0.07
Quarterly 9/1/18 2,604.16 2,664.00 2,549.90 2,605.40 18 -- 5 -0.15
Quarterly 12/1/18 2,528.04 2,606.00 2,479.90 2,525.54 18 -- 7 -0.36
Quarterly 3/1/19 2,572.09 2,637.40 2,491.10 2,572.75 12 1 4 0.09
Quarterly 6/1/19 2,763.46 2,826.80 2,672.50 2,762.60 12 1 4 -0.00

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 9,491.29 9,488.88 0.03
Annual 12/1/16 8,959.09 8,927.81 0.35
Annual 12/1/15 8,071.56 8,114.84 -0.53
Quarterly 6/1/18 2,577.01 2,595.56 -0.71
Quarterly 3/1/18 2,412.20 2,404.78 0.31
Quarterly 12/1/17 2,369.10 2,367.16 0.08
Quarterly 9/1/17 2,448.51 2,461.45 -0.53

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 11.40 11,639.49 0.00
FY1 10.39 11,312.00 0.00
FY2 9.37 12.50 0.75

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 0.15 11.71 0.90
FY2/FY1 9.64 24.28 0.88
FY3/FY2 9.64 24.28 0.88