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Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 118.20
Price - 52 Week High: 282.21
Price - 52 Week Low: 113.45
Price Date (Latest): 12/14/18
Median Price Target: 142.72
Diff from Prev Close: 24.52
% Difference: 20.75

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.57

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 13.61
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 16.37
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 14.98
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 13.15 14.45 11.70 13.15 13 -- 4 -0.42
Annual 12/1/19 11.85 13.25 10.70 11.73 22 -- 5 -0.59
Annual 12/1/18 12.31 12.38 12.15 12.31 22 -- 3 -0.07
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.51 2.59 2.36 2.50 19 -- 2 -0.27
Quarterly 3/1/19 2.34 2.53 2.07 2.35 17 -- 3 -2.19
Quarterly 6/1/19 3.28 3.61 2.74 3.37 17 -- 3 -0.86
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.30 3.68 2.80 3.30 17 -- 3 -1.10
Long Term Growth 2.68 6.30 -1.10 2.75 4 -- 1 -2.80

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 13.61 13.52 0.70
Annual 12/1/16 12.61 12.57 0.34
Annual 12/1/15 10.20 10.11 0.93
Quarterly 9/1/18 3.29 3.58 -8.02
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.51 3.90 -9.93
Quarterly 3/1/18 3.01 3.00 0.41
Quarterly 12/1/17 3.42 3.32 2.97

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 94.85
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 127.53 129.19 126.63 127.14 4 -- 4 -7.14
Annual 12/1/19 112.36 117.33 104.90 114.93 6 -- 2 -0.10
Annual 12/1/18 104.12 106.27 101.80 103.77 6 -- 2 -0.08
Quarterly 12/1/18 103.77 103.95 103.59 103.77 2 -- 2 -0.97
Quarterly 3/1/19 106.00 106.32 105.68 106.00 2 -- 2 -1.35
Quarterly 6/1/19 109.11 109.34 108.89 109.11 2 -- 2 -1.53
Quarterly 9/1/19 112.26 112.34 112.19 112.26 2 -- 2 -1.65

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 94.85 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 77.99 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 65.66 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 101.50 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 98.73 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 98.71 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 94.85 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 15.95
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 21.00 22.49 19.21 21.30 3 -- 2 -5.56
Annual 12/1/19 19.29 20.10 18.16 19.74 5 -- 4 -9.48
Annual 12/1/18 18.14 19.32 16.72 18.27 4 -- 4 -8.43
Quarterly 12/1/18 5.49 6.86 4.01 5.55 4 2 1 -1.47
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.40 4.17 2.33 3.56 4 1 1 31.75
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.85 6.17 3.64 4.80 4 -- 2 -33.21
Quarterly 9/1/19 6.22 7.69 5.07 6.07 4 1 1 3.91

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 15.95 18.10 -11.89
Annual 12/1/16 17.80 16.73 6.42
Annual 12/1/15 12.32 13.21 -6.77
Quarterly 6/1/18 5.84 6.54 -10.65
Quarterly 3/1/18 2.45 4.06 -39.82
Quarterly 12/1/17 4.26 6.50 -34.45

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 7 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/16 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/15 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 -- -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,416.43
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,292.76 1,394.00 1,159.00 1,281.87 12 -- 4 -0.44
Annual 12/1/19 1,168.72 1,304.00 1,052.00 1,185.80 17 -- 4 -0.26
Annual 12/1/18 1,188.09 1,199.46 1,150.00 1,189.95 16 -- 2 -0.07
Quarterly 12/1/18 243.79 252.23 239.00 242.00 13 -- 11 -41.49
Quarterly 3/1/19 234.33 247.65 214.20 236.75 10 -- 3 -4.74
Quarterly 6/1/19 326.17 341.90 301.00 326.55 10 -- 3 -0.49
Quarterly 9/1/19 324.70 346.66 300.00 323.21 10 -- 3 -0.68

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,416.43 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1,316.94 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1,049.99 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 314.22 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 342.54 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 291.86 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 358.70 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 1,859.30
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,861.56 1,944.00 1,748.33 1,867.00 13 -- 4 -0.40
Annual 12/1/19 1,724.89 1,855.00 1,622.00 1,725.50 20 -- 4 -0.28
Annual 12/1/18 1,703.70 1,731.00 1,690.00 1,701.49 15 -- 2 -0.00
Quarterly 12/1/18 379.40 388.42 373.00 377.68 15 -- 1 -0.30
Quarterly 3/1/19 372.62 389.05 346.00 376.50 14 -- 2 -0.82
Quarterly 6/1/19 467.21 491.87 441.00 468.75 14 -- 2 -0.05
Quarterly 9/1/19 468.12 491.00 440.00 471.66 14 1 1 0.33

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,859.30 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1,711.74 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1,395.86 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 445.48 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 466.54 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 411.79 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 477.29 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 12.98
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 12.91 14.01 11.70 12.84 7 -- 2 -0.32
Annual 12/1/19 12.07 15.05 10.70 11.65 13 -- 2 -0.15
Annual 12/1/18 11.03 12.30 10.71 10.94 11 1 1 -0.10
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.47 2.59 2.26 2.50 10 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 2.44 3.18 2.04 2.37 8 -- 4 -7.01
Quarterly 6/1/19 3.34 3.86 3.01 3.31 8 -- 4 -2.76
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.38 4.01 3.01 3.28 8 -- 4 -4.05

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 12.98 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 12.48 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 8.31 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 3.02 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 2.62 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 2.78 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 3.21 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 2,678.69
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,380.94 1,711.10 1,005.00 1,373.36 6 -- -- -6.21
Annual 12/1/19 2,068.72 2,484.20 1,495.20 2,138.91 10 2 1 4.78
Annual 12/1/18 2,546.05 2,971.10 2,160.00 2,561.92 10 2 1 3.14
Quarterly 12/1/18 2,516.09 2,598.50 2,433.68 2,516.09 2 2 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 2,459.82 2,632.25 2,287.40 2,459.82 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 2,249.49 2,420.67 2,078.30 2,249.49 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,893.76 2,099.52 1,688.00 1,893.76 2 1 -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 2,678.69 2,307.87 16.07
Annual 12/1/16 2,389.82 2,477.34 -3.53
Annual 12/1/15 3,118.24 2,857.07 9.14
Quarterly 9/1/18 2,771.05 2,405.33 15.20
Quarterly 6/1/18 2,512.31 2,363.22 6.31
Quarterly 3/1/18 2,802.73 2,423.86 15.63
Quarterly 12/1/17 2,678.69 2,337.16 14.61

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 1,018.65
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 973.67 1,046.80 878.00 965.00 11 -- 4 -0.50
Annual 12/1/19 875.38 980.00 791.00 876.55 18 -- 4 -0.29
Annual 12/1/18 922.02 932.82 913.00 921.73 18 -- 2 -0.06
Quarterly 12/1/18 188.54 195.87 185.00 187.50 14 -- 13 -39.76
Quarterly 3/1/19 173.24 186.93 155.36 174.38 11 -- 4 -7.54
Quarterly 6/1/19 244.79 259.00 226.00 244.00 11 -- 4 -2.76
Quarterly 9/1/19 243.86 263.21 225.00 239.90 11 -- 4 -3.28

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,018.65 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 940.35 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 755.50 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 246.29 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 262.93 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 225.28 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 256.00 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,495.60 1,495.60 1,495.60 1,495.60 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 1,339.30 1,339.30 1,339.30 1,339.30 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 415.40 415.40 415.40 415.40 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 14.69
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 10.45 11.40 9.60 10.45 6 -- 2 -0.16
Annual 12/1/19 10.70 12.00 9.60 10.45 8 -- 2 -0.23
Annual 12/1/18 11.69 12.53 9.60 12.20 10 -- 2 -0.09
Quarterly 12/1/18 9.60 9.60 9.60 9.60 1 -- 1 -39.58
Quarterly 3/1/19 8.90 8.90 8.90 8.90 1 -- 1 -29.21
Quarterly 6/1/19 11.00 11.00 11.00 11.00 1 -- 1 -15.45
Quarterly 9/1/19 10.70 10.70 10.70 10.70 1 -- 1 -32.71

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 14.69 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 17.68 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 16.30 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 14.29 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 12.51 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 14.77 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 9,491.29
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 10,648.41 10,959.00 10,230.60 10,584.36 12 1 3 -0.12
Annual 12/1/19 10,429.06 10,810.00 10,019.69 10,446.40 19 1 3 -0.07
Annual 12/1/18 9,973.36 10,020.40 9,904.58 9,969.05 18 -- 2 -0.01
Quarterly 12/1/18 2,439.76 2,485.40 2,369.56 2,434.00 16 -- 2 -0.06
Quarterly 3/1/19 2,521.13 2,627.85 2,421.96 2,526.49 14 -- 2 -0.10
Quarterly 6/1/19 2,717.27 2,811.30 2,605.26 2,723.70 14 -- 2 0.02
Quarterly 9/1/19 2,640.13 2,707.12 2,526.00 2,656.95 14 -- 2 0.02

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 9,491.29 9,488.88 0.03
Annual 12/1/16 8,959.09 8,927.81 0.35
Annual 12/1/15 8,071.56 8,114.84 -0.53
Quarterly 9/1/18 2,545.80 2,604.22 -2.24
Quarterly 6/1/18 2,577.01 2,595.56 -0.71
Quarterly 3/1/18 2,412.20 2,404.78 0.31
Quarterly 12/1/17 2,369.10 2,367.16 0.08

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 9.60 11,638.28 0.00
FY1 9.97 11,311.19 0.00
FY2 8.99 11.73 0.77

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 -9.55 6.76 0.85
FY2/FY1 -3.70 14.86 0.84
FY3/FY2 -3.70 14.86 0.84