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Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 110.45
Price - 52 Week High: 196.30
Price - 52 Week Low: 109.35
Price Date (Latest): 8/16/19
Median Price Target: 136.77
Diff from Prev Close: 26.32
% Difference: 23.83

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.67

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 12.33
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 18.50
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 12.54 14.16 12.00 12.15 5 -- 5 -9.36
Annual 12/1/20 11.02 12.27 10.05 11.00 20 -- 20 -7.92
Annual 12/1/19 9.96 10.10 9.74 9.99 20 -- 20 -6.93
Quarterly 3/1/20 2.27 2.49 1.99 2.32 8 1 7 -5.53
Quarterly 6/1/20 3.13 3.22 3.03 3.14 8 2 5 -2.26
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.65 2.69 2.61 2.66 17 -- 17 -13.06
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.29 2.42 2.10 2.30 17 -- 17 -13.72
Long Term Growth 0.80 3.40 -1.80 0.80 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 12.33 12.29 0.29
Annual 12/1/17 13.61 13.52 0.70
Annual 12/1/16 12.61 12.57 0.34
Quarterly 6/1/19 2.89 2.87 0.68
Quarterly 3/1/19 2.13 2.08 2.54
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.53 2.49 1.41
Quarterly 9/1/18 3.29 3.58 -8.02

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 99.73
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 133.85 133.90 133.80 133.85 2 -- 2 -2.13
Annual 12/1/20 121.36 124.17 118.44 121.41 4 -- 4 -1.01
Annual 12/1/19 111.87 117.93 108.00 110.78 4 2 2 -0.13
Quarterly 3/1/20 114.43 114.43 114.43 114.43 1 -- 1 -0.06
Quarterly 6/1/20 117.65 117.65 117.65 117.65 1 1 -- 0.09
Quarterly 9/1/19 110.01 110.01 110.01 110.01 1 1 -- 0.36
Quarterly 12/1/19 112.09 112.09 112.09 112.09 1 -- 1 -0.22

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 99.73 104.12 -4.21
Annual 12/1/17 94.85 93.08 1.90
Annual 12/1/16 77.99 78.86 -1.10
Quarterly 6/1/19 108.00 106.36 1.54
Quarterly 3/1/19 104.54 103.84 0.67
Quarterly 12/1/18 99.73 103.77 -3.90
Quarterly 9/1/18 101.39 102.15 -0.74

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 15.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 19.35 19.35 19.35 19.35 1 -- -- -2.73
Annual 12/1/20 18.67 19.77 17.69 18.61 4 -- 2 -3.91
Annual 12/1/19 17.85 18.30 17.54 17.78 4 1 2 5.43
Quarterly 3/1/20 4.67 6.18 3.16 4.67 2 1 -- 0.86
Quarterly 6/1/20 4.50 5.17 3.82 4.50 2 -- -- -11.27
Quarterly 9/1/19 4.56 6.12 2.99 4.56 2 1 -- -2.46
Quarterly 12/1/19 5.30 6.96 3.63 5.30 2 -- 1 -1.58

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 15.80 18.14 -12.91
Annual 12/1/17 15.95 18.10 -11.89
Annual 12/1/16 17.80 16.73 6.42
Quarterly 6/1/19 5.45 6.57 -17.05
Quarterly 3/1/19 2.34 4.36 -46.27
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.87 5.01 -22.77
Quarterly 9/1/18 3.65 6.63 -44.95

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- 6 -- -- 0.00
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 6 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/16 -- -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,189.33
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,175.41 1,194.42 1,161.80 1,170.00 3 -- 3 -10.64
Annual 12/1/20 1,053.03 1,117.60 961.30 1,070.00 13 1 13 -8.68
Annual 12/1/19 953.09 980.00 926.10 951.40 13 1 13 -8.39
Quarterly 3/1/20 222.19 238.00 195.00 231.31 6 2 3 -6.59
Quarterly 6/1/20 302.57 313.00 291.40 302.91 6 -- 4 -4.40
Quarterly 9/1/19 254.20 290.80 247.20 249.00 12 1 11 -13.86
Quarterly 12/1/19 222.07 260.60 211.50 217.90 12 -- 11 -14.16

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,189.33 1,182.89 0.54
Annual 12/1/17 1,416.43 1,404.67 0.84
Annual 12/1/16 1,316.94 1,303.07 1.06
Quarterly 6/1/19 276.96 275.89 0.39
Quarterly 3/1/19 206.59 208.23 -0.79
Quarterly 12/1/18 240.71 242.28 -0.65
Quarterly 9/1/18 314.22 347.95 -9.69

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 1,705.06
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,810.48 1,941.00 1,695.00 1,802.97 4 -- 4 -5.96
Annual 12/1/20 1,630.00 1,754.00 1,527.10 1,634.27 16 -- 16 -5.43
Annual 12/1/19 1,524.32 1,541.00 1,490.00 1,525.47 14 -- 14 -4.56
Quarterly 3/1/20 368.36 395.00 339.00 373.42 7 1 4 -2.68
Quarterly 6/1/20 449.69 471.00 434.40 450.32 7 -- 3 -2.36
Quarterly 9/1/19 394.50 400.00 390.00 395.00 13 -- 12 -9.76
Quarterly 12/1/19 362.46 372.00 345.10 364.10 13 -- 12 -9.60

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,705.06 1,703.11 0.11
Annual 12/1/17 1,859.30 1,849.15 0.55
Annual 12/1/16 1,711.74 1,711.59 0.01
Quarterly 6/1/19 417.44 418.31 -0.21
Quarterly 3/1/19 348.41 345.11 0.96
Quarterly 12/1/18 381.25 377.20 1.07
Quarterly 9/1/18 445.48 483.04 -7.78

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 11.47
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 12.54 14.16 11.71 12.14 4 -- 4 -9.82
Annual 12/1/20 10.89 11.82 10.05 11.00 13 -- 13 -8.54
Annual 12/1/19 9.19 9.48 8.87 9.26 11 -- 11 -9.84
Quarterly 3/1/20 2.25 2.42 1.99 2.32 6 -- 5 -7.95
Quarterly 6/1/20 3.13 3.22 3.03 3.14 6 1 3 -3.10
Quarterly 9/1/19 2.57 2.69 2.37 2.64 12 -- 12 -14.69
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.22 2.37 2.02 2.25 12 -- 12 -14.63

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 11.47 10.89 5.32
Annual 12/1/17 12.98 13.12 -1.06
Annual 12/1/16 12.48 12.56 -0.62
Quarterly 6/1/19 2.79 2.85 -1.96
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.67 2.04 -18.26
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.05 2.45 24.44
Quarterly 9/1/18 3.02 3.58 -15.62

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 3,138.92
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 641.00 641.00 641.00 641.00 1 -- 1 -21.54
Annual 12/1/20 1,924.78 2,933.00 1,608.00 1,741.50 8 4 4 -1.53
Annual 12/1/19 2,580.60 2,777.00 2,443.00 2,519.60 7 3 4 -1.88
Quarterly 9/1/19 2,661.70 2,661.70 2,661.70 2,661.70 1 1 -- 0.70
Quarterly 12/1/19 2,514.00 2,514.00 2,514.00 2,514.00 1 -- 1 -2.02

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3,138.92 2,587.34 21.32
Annual 12/1/17 2,678.69 2,307.87 16.07
Annual 12/1/16 2,389.82 2,477.34 -3.53
Quarterly 6/1/19 2,932.91 2,789.10 5.16
Quarterly 3/1/19 3,155.64 2,975.54 6.05
Quarterly 12/1/18 3,138.92 2,696.34 16.41
Quarterly 9/1/18 2,771.05 2,405.33 15.20

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 922.02
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 922.10 1,029.00 873.70 892.84 4 -- 3 -7.09
Annual 12/1/20 794.64 859.00 727.00 798.63 16 -- 14 -7.65
Annual 12/1/19 722.06 734.00 705.60 722.10 15 -- 13 -6.78
Quarterly 3/1/20 166.39 182.00 146.00 170.17 7 1 4 -5.88
Quarterly 6/1/20 227.87 234.80 219.70 228.70 7 -- 4 -3.70
Quarterly 9/1/19 192.66 196.50 189.00 193.00 15 -- 13 -12.87
Quarterly 12/1/19 165.58 176.00 151.80 165.66 15 -- 13 -13.90

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 922.02 920.87 0.12
Annual 12/1/17 1,018.65 1,011.18 0.74
Annual 12/1/16 940.35 937.49 0.30
Quarterly 6/1/19 209.74 208.23 0.73
Quarterly 3/1/19 154.48 151.70 1.83
Quarterly 12/1/18 187.51 186.69 0.44
Quarterly 9/1/18 246.29 269.46 -8.60

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 912.79 954.58 871.00 912.79 2 -- 2 -10.78

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 12.72
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 9.20 10.60 7.80 9.20 2 -- -- -11.96
Annual 12/1/20 9.04 10.10 8.30 8.90 8 -- -- -9.06
Annual 12/1/19 8.73 9.30 7.40 8.80 9 -- -- -8.65
Quarterly 3/1/20 8.40 8.40 8.40 8.40 1 -- -- -1.18
Quarterly 6/1/20 11.00 11.00 11.00 11.00 1 -- -- 0.92
Quarterly 9/1/19 8.90 8.90 8.90 8.90 1 -- -- -24.58
Quarterly 12/1/19 7.40 7.40 7.40 7.40 1 -- -- -23.71

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 12.72 11.75 0.97
Annual 12/1/17 14.69 15.38 -0.69
Annual 12/1/16 17.68 17.15 0.53
Quarterly 6/1/19 11.00 10.70 0.30
Quarterly 3/1/19 8.24 7.90 0.34
Quarterly 12/1/18 10.00 9.60 0.40
Quarterly 9/1/18 13.20 13.90 -0.70

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 9,983.63
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 10,608.55 10,877.34 10,395.00 10,586.00 5 -- 5 -1.93
Annual 12/1/20 10,237.41 10,500.40 9,971.30 10,290.00 17 -- 17 -2.54
Annual 12/1/19 10,000.28 10,096.70 9,873.62 9,988.61 17 -- 17 -2.21
Quarterly 3/1/20 2,481.53 2,548.00 2,448.00 2,480.85 8 1 6 -0.92
Quarterly 6/1/20 2,658.59 2,703.60 2,635.00 2,649.00 8 1 5 -1.23
Quarterly 9/1/19 2,511.69 2,568.20 2,456.00 2,519.28 15 1 14 -3.64
Quarterly 12/1/19 2,451.77 2,520.80 2,369.00 2,445.00 15 -- 15 -3.02

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 9,983.63 9,968.79 0.15
Annual 12/1/17 9,491.29 9,488.88 0.03
Annual 12/1/16 8,959.09 8,923.98 0.39
Quarterly 6/1/19 2,584.49 2,646.75 -2.35
Quarterly 3/1/19 2,442.49 2,496.90 -2.18
Quarterly 12/1/18 2,448.62 2,434.76 0.57
Quarterly 9/1/18 2,545.80 2,604.22 -2.24

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 8.96 11.09 10.02

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -19.01 10.71 13.73