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Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 138.80
Price - 52 Week High: 254.46
Price - 52 Week Low: 109.35
Price Date (Latest): 2/14/19
Median Price Target: 144.29
Diff from Prev Close: 5.49
% Difference: 3.96

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.71

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 12.33
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 14.22
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 16.63
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 14.17 15.62 13.09 13.98 4 -- -- -1.15
Annual 12/1/20 12.48 13.57 11.12 12.43 21 1 10 -3.90
Annual 12/1/19 11.25 12.01 10.15 11.32 22 1 18 -3.76
Quarterly 3/1/19 2.09 2.25 2.04 2.08 20 -- 14 -10.35
Quarterly 6/1/19 3.15 3.32 2.80 3.17 19 4 11 -3.56
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.25 3.51 2.75 3.29 19 6 9 -0.71
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.76 3.10 2.49 2.78 19 6 9 -1.30
Long Term Growth 3.20 6.30 -1.10 4.40 3 -- 1 17.97

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 12.33 12.29 0.29
Annual 12/1/17 13.61 13.52 0.70
Annual 12/1/16 12.61 12.57 0.34
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.53 2.49 1.41
Quarterly 9/1/18 3.29 3.58 -8.02
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.51 3.90 -9.93
Quarterly 3/1/18 3.01 3.00 0.41

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 99.73
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 137.20 139.29 135.10 137.20 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 119.43 126.77 102.53 120.63 6 -- 2 -5.42
Annual 12/1/19 109.99 115.10 101.82 110.37 6 1 3 -2.56
Quarterly 3/1/19 106.00 106.32 105.68 106.00 2 -- 2 -1.35
Quarterly 6/1/19 109.11 109.34 108.89 109.11 2 -- 2 -1.53
Quarterly 9/1/19 112.26 112.34 112.19 112.26 2 -- 2 -1.65
Quarterly 12/1/19 114.93 115.10 114.76 114.93 2 -- 2 -2.11

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 99.73 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 94.85 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 77.99 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 99.73 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 101.39 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 98.73 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 98.71 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 28.53 28.53 28.53 28.53 1 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/20 20.79 22.49 19.21 20.85 6 -- -- 0.15
Annual 12/1/19 19.40 20.10 18.16 19.57 6 -- 2 -1.26
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.80 5.42 2.33 3.73 4 -- 1 -5.13
Quarterly 6/1/19 5.25 6.17 4.55 5.14 4 1 -- 7.90
Quarterly 9/1/19 6.02 7.38 4.84 5.92 4 1 -- 0.38
Quarterly 12/1/19 4.23 5.03 2.94 4.48 4 -- 1 -5.96

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 15.95 18.10 -11.89
Annual 12/1/16 17.80 16.73 6.42
Quarterly 9/1/18 3.65 6.63 -44.95
Quarterly 6/1/18 5.84 6.54 -10.65
Quarterly 3/1/18 2.45 4.06 -39.82

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- 8 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 8 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/16 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,189.33
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,436.19 1,598.10 1,314.46 1,396.00 3 -- -- -1.32
Annual 12/1/20 1,227.90 1,366.60 1,119.00 1,229.90 17 1 10 -3.63
Annual 12/1/19 1,073.30 1,192.50 425.80 1,116.70 17 1 14 -7.38
Quarterly 3/1/19 201.88 224.87 88.90 208.00 15 -- 9 -14.13
Quarterly 6/1/19 300.42 343.00 128.50 308.80 15 1 8 -8.25
Quarterly 9/1/19 308.39 346.30 118.10 321.51 15 2 6 -4.49
Quarterly 12/1/19 258.18 306.20 90.30 263.53 15 4 5 -4.75

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,189.33 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 1,416.43 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1,316.94 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 240.71 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 314.22 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 342.54 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 291.86 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 1,705.06
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,981.94 2,135.00 1,865.00 1,963.88 4 1 2 -1.17
Annual 12/1/20 1,781.08 1,904.00 1,668.10 1,777.50 18 1 11 -3.17
Annual 12/1/19 1,659.27 1,749.00 1,504.00 1,662.00 19 1 16 -2.96
Quarterly 3/1/19 346.88 365.40 325.00 347.74 16 -- 12 -5.42
Quarterly 6/1/19 447.50 477.62 397.00 447.94 16 1 11 -3.09
Quarterly 9/1/19 455.40 485.00 391.00 454.85 16 3 9 -1.48
Quarterly 12/1/19 409.43 445.00 382.30 406.00 15 6 6 -0.93

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,705.06 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 1,859.30 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1,711.74 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 381.25 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 445.48 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 466.54 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 411.79 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 11.47
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 14.24 15.62 13.09 14.00 3 -- -- -1.17
Annual 12/1/20 12.42 13.57 11.12 12.35 13 1 6 -2.26
Annual 12/1/19 11.09 11.83 10.15 11.15 13 1 11 -4.42
Quarterly 3/1/19 2.06 2.12 1.92 2.06 10 -- 7 -10.06
Quarterly 6/1/19 3.10 3.32 2.80 3.11 11 2 6 -4.87
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.24 3.43 2.75 3.25 11 3 5 0.13
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.69 2.85 2.49 2.72 11 4 4 -0.33

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 11.47 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 12.98 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 12.48 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.05 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 3.02 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 2.62 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 2.78 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 3,138.92
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 63.00 63.00 63.00 63.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 1,569.12 2,040.00 1,258.00 1,513.45 8 4 1 11.43
Annual 12/1/19 2,350.71 2,602.00 1,970.45 2,418.10 8 6 1 8.18
Quarterly 3/1/19 2,763.07 2,893.90 2,632.25 2,763.07 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 2,628.99 2,837.30 2,420.67 2,628.99 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 2,385.36 2,671.20 2,099.52 2,385.36 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 2,249.32 2,528.20 1,970.45 2,249.32 2 1 -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3,138.92 2,587.34 21.32
Annual 12/1/17 2,678.69 2,307.87 16.07
Annual 12/1/16 2,389.82 2,477.34 -3.53
Quarterly 12/1/18 3,138.92 2,696.34 16.41
Quarterly 9/1/18 2,771.05 2,405.33 15.20
Quarterly 6/1/18 2,512.31 2,363.22 6.31
Quarterly 3/1/18 2,802.73 2,423.86 15.63

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 922.02
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,082.77 1,203.00 1,000.32 1,045.00 3 -- -- -1.77
Annual 12/1/20 916.77 1,024.70 832.10 922.30 17 -- 10 -4.92
Annual 12/1/19 827.51 892.00 751.00 831.74 18 -- 15 -4.28
Quarterly 3/1/19 152.92 160.18 147.00 152.00 15 -- 9 -10.82
Quarterly 6/1/19 234.61 263.00 207.00 235.00 15 1 8 -3.31
Quarterly 9/1/19 241.66 261.60 204.00 243.00 15 4 5 0.01
Quarterly 12/1/19 200.32 231.00 178.40 197.61 15 4 5 -0.96

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 922.02 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 1,018.65 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 940.35 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 187.51 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 246.29 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 262.93 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 225.28 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,170.61 1,170.61 1,170.61 1,170.61 1 -- -- -1.62

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 12.72
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 10.35 11.60 9.10 10.35 2 -- 1 -3.38
Annual 12/1/20 10.59 11.71 9.70 10.50 11 2 3 0.86
Annual 12/1/19 10.29 11.20 9.40 10.35 12 1 4 -2.76
Quarterly 3/1/19 8.10 8.10 8.10 8.10 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 11.70 11.70 11.70 11.70 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 12.10 12.10 12.10 12.10 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 9.40 9.40 9.40 9.40 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 12.72 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 14.69 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 17.68 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 10.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 13.20 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 14.29 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 12.51 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 9,983.63
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 10,888.46 11,089.50 10,650.00 10,907.16 4 -- -- -0.01
Annual 12/1/20 10,651.84 10,969.00 10,355.20 10,602.13 18 3 8 0.26
Annual 12/1/19 10,351.75 10,561.32 10,150.00 10,325.62 19 4 13 -0.18
Quarterly 3/1/19 2,500.01 2,587.26 2,414.80 2,489.78 17 4 7 0.05
Quarterly 6/1/19 2,694.02 2,766.58 2,585.00 2,692.00 17 1 10 -0.18
Quarterly 9/1/19 2,626.77 2,696.03 2,544.00 2,627.00 17 5 5 0.17
Quarterly 12/1/19 2,523.14 2,572.00 2,459.30 2,532.70 17 3 9 -0.43

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 9,983.63 9,968.79 0.15
Annual 12/1/17 9,491.29 9,488.88 0.03
Annual 12/1/16 8,959.09 8,927.81 0.35
Quarterly 12/1/18 2,448.62 2,434.76 0.57
Quarterly 9/1/18 2,545.80 2,604.22 -2.24
Quarterly 6/1/18 2,577.01 2,595.56 -0.71
Quarterly 3/1/18 2,412.20 2,404.78 0.31

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 12.33 11,311.56 0.00
FY1 11.12 12.13 0.92
FY2 9.80 9.65 1.02

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 -8.73 12.40 0.81
FY2/FY1 10.93 29.91 0.85
FY3/FY2 10.93 29.91 0.85